Gladwyn d’Souza<p><a href="https://www.autoevolution.com/news/ev-predictions-aren-t-great-but-those-for-hydrogen-fuel-cell-vehicles-are-a-disaster-227592.html" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">autoevolution.com/news/ev-pred</span><span class="invisible">ictions-aren-t-great-but-those-for-hydrogen-fuel-cell-vehicles-are-a-disaster-227592.html</span></a> </p><p>Let me start with the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), as cars and trucks account for 60% of global oil consumption. The association forecasts an increase in oil production from 102 million bpd (barrels per day) in 2023 to 116 bpd in 2045.</p><p>This contradicts IEA's model, according to whom oil production should peak by 2030 and then drop sharply for the 1.5°C scenario to have a chance. Well, it should not come as a surprise that OPEC also forecasts that by 2045, there will be around 2.6 billion vehicles on the road, and combustion engines will power three-quarters of them.<br />Basically, oil producers expect that, by around mid-century, there will be only 700-750 million zero-emission vehicles globally. Much less than the two billion in IEA's optimistic scenario and close to the more-than-2.5°C disastrous scenario.</p><p><a href="https://sfba.social/tags/BeyondEVs" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>BeyondEVs</span></a> <a href="https://sfba.social/tags/StopDeterioratingCarbonSinks" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>StopDeterioratingCarbonSinks</span></a> <a href="https://sfba.social/tags/15MinuteNeighbourhoods" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>15MinuteNeighbourhoods</span></a> <a href="https://sfba.social/tags/ZionistProjectProtectsCarbonBombShippingLanes" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>ZionistProjectProtectsCarbonBombShippingLanes</span></a></p>